CAUSES OF GLOBAL WARMING
The greenhouse effect was discovered by Joseph Fourier in 1824. It is the process by
which absorption and emission of infrared radiation by atmospheric gases warm the
planet's surface.
Existence of the greenhouse effect as such is not disputed. Naturally occurring
greenhouse gases have a mean warming effect of about 33 °C (59 °F), without which
Earth would be uninhabitable. Rather, the issue is how the strength of the
greenhouse effect changes when human activity increases the atmospheric
concentrations of some greenhouse gases.
On Earth, the major greenhouse gases are water vapor, which causes about 36–70% of
the greenhouse effect (not including clouds); carbon dioxide (CO2), which causes 9–
26%; methane (CH4), which causes 4–9%; and ozone, which causes 3–7%. Molecule for
molecule, methane is a more effective greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide, in
addition to nitrous oxide (N2O), which is increasing in concentration owing to human
activity such as agriculture.
From less direct geological evidence it is believed that CO2 values this high were
last attained 20 million years ago. Fossil fuel burning has produced about three-
quarters of the increase in CO2 from human activity over the past 20 years. Most of
the rest is due to land-use change, in particular deforestation.
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